Several rounds of severe weather possible for KAKElandPosted: Updated:
After a quiet start to the work week our weather pattern turns rowdy as we head toward the weekend and into early next week with severe storms returning to the menu. An active upper level pattern will bring two upper level storm systems to the Central Plains and as a result, several days of severe weather are expected.
A strong south wind on Friday will help drive temperatures and moisture levels up in advance of thunderstorms breaking out along a dry line on Friday. This dry line will be oriented north to south in the vicinity of US-83 in Western Kansas on Friday. It is along this boundary that storms will fire up between 3pm and 7pm. At this time it appears that the storm coverage will be fairly sparse along the dry line but the storms that do develop are going to be in an environment that could make them particularly severe. These storms could easily produce very large hail over the size of hen eggs(2.0"), high wind gusts over 65mph and even a few significant tornadoes. These storms will track east and northeast during the evening overnight and they are expected to weaken as they move east. At this time it does not appear that any of this severe weather will make it to the I-135 corridor.
The severe weather threat is expected to slide east on Saturday. Quite a few questions exist regarding the severe weather setup on Saturday. It is possible that showers and storms could be on going during the morning hours and this could disrupt to some degree the chances of severe weather in the afternoon and evening. At this time it does appear that the ingredients will be present for storms in North and South Central Kansas and these storms could produce large hail, high wind and even a few tornadoes. This severe weather area does include the city of Wichita with the best chance for severe storms coming in the late afternoon and evening time frame. Flooding will be a concern in South Central Kansas Saturday as storms could drop significant rain over areas that experienced flooding last week.
Sunday will offer a quick break with some sunshine returning to KAKEland before the atmosphere tries to reload ahead of the next upper level storm system. Monday will offer KAKEland another chance at strong and severe storms, especially across South Central Kansas and locations south of I-70 in North Central Kansas. All modes of severe weather will once again be possible and flood potential will remain a major concern as we head through Monday and Tuesday.
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