FRIDAY MID-DAY UPDATE:

Latest data still pointing toward the potential for afternoon storms... the big question we have is when and where do they fire up. New, high-resolution model data suggests a few storms may try to fire up near Wichita early this afternoon, while this is a possibility it appears more likely that we will see storms developing in South Central Kansas after 8pm.

Storms could still be severe with large hail and high wind gusts possible. We've adjusted the threat area a bit further west to include the city of Wichita.

 Stay weather aware through the afternoon and evening!

FRIDAY AM UPDATE:

Showers and storms could once again develop this afternoon across Eastern KAKEland and some might even turn severe with large hail and high wind gusts being the most likely threats.

While some models point toward the possibility of a few storms firing up across the Flint Hills early this afternoon between 1-3pm, the more likely scenario is to see development after 7pm as the cap on the atmosphere starts to weaken. If storms develop, they are expected to gradually slide southeast out of KAKEland during the evening and overnight hours. 

Overall, it appears that this will be a relatively low-end severe weather event with a few storms capable of hitting the 1" hail threshold and the 60mph wind gust criteria. The strongest storms are expected across far Southeastern Kansas as the storms head out late.

THURSDAY AM UPDATE:

Another round of showers and storms on the menu for Thursday and these could once again be severe with large hail and high wind being the most likely threats.

A cold front sliding into Western Kansas is expected to spark storms in the mid afternoon, roughly between 3:30-5:30pm in the vicinity of US-283. These storms will then track east through the afternoon and evening hours with more development expected south along the cold front and dry line.

A few storms could be severe, with high wind gusts up over 60mph, being the most likely threat. In addition to the wind, some storms, especially in North Central Kansas could produce large hail possibly topping ping pong ball size (1.5"). At this time, it appears the majority of the severe weather will likely occur north of Metro Wichita with most of our activity not sliding through very late into early Friday morning.

A few more storms will be possible Friday afternoon, especially across the Flint Hills Region. Storms south and east of the Kansas Turnpike stand the best chance of turning severe with large hail and high wind being the primary threats as well as locally heavy rainfall that could lead to some flooding.

More storms will be possible on Saturday and while overall coverage may be limited, a few more could be severe and should be monitored closely. Stay tuned for updates as the details as the threats and zone become clearer.

We’ll keep you up to date with our Interactive Radar and LIVE weather coverage. Get those features and more on the free First Alert Weather App. With the app you can track storms in your area, stream the latest forecast videos and live severe weather coverage, and set customized alerts to keep you and your family informed and safe.

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WEDNESDAY AM UPDATE:

The unseasonably hot weather may eventually give way to some late day storms across KAKEland. While these storms may bring some beneficial rain to drought-stricken Kansas, they may also produce some large hail and high wind.

After some morning sprinkles, Wednesday, the clouds are expected to break, allowing Kansas to once again bake in the low to middle 90s. During the afternoon we expect to see the formation of a dry line across far Western Kansas. This feature could spark a few storms that will be fueled by the above normal temperatures. The storms are likely to be very hit and miss, but they could produce some severe weather.

The most likely threats with these storms will be the potential for large hail, possibly topping quarter size (1") and wind gusts in excess of 60mph. While we can't every completely rule out a tornado, they do not appear overly likely given our current weather setup. These storms will meander east through the evening and overnight. As they track east, they are expected to weaken and dissipate as we approach midnight.

Thursday will bring another chance for showers and storms that could be strong to severe. The threat zone, Thursday, will shift into North and South Central Kansas. Storms will once again fire up late in the day along a front. The most likely threat with Thursday's storms will be high wind gusts. Some hail will also be possible Thursday with the strongest cells. 

Friday morning, may start off with some shower and thunderstorm activity on the radar and a few more storms will be possible late in the day, especially south and east of the Kansas Turnpike. Large hail to the size of quarters and wind gusts to 60mph will be the most likely threats. 

Stay tuned for updates and alerts. While severe weather will be possible the next three days, these are not expected to be overly active days with relatively limited activity on the radar.