Fourth of July Forecast

Posted: Updated:

The weather across KAKEland will be quite varied on this Independence Day with severe weather, scorching heat and even below normal temperatures all possible. Fireworks should blast off in most communities this evening and overnight without issue, the one exception is Northwest Kansas where nature may bring the fire power in the form of severe weather.

Ahead of the storm chance in Northwest Kansas, the western portion of the state will be sunny, hot and dry through the afternoon. Look for highs to climb into the middle 90s in Northwest Kansas while the southwest corner of the state will experience highs in the middle and upper 90s. A few triple digits can’t be ruled out in extreme Southwest Kansas during the afternoon.

After 6pm a few storms will be possible in Northwest Kansas and at this point and time it looks like the majority of them will be north of Interstate 70. These storms could produce hail stones that top 1” in diameter along with wind gust that could exceed 60mph. While not overly likely, a stray tornado producing storm will be possible as well. It appears that this region won’t see an overabundance of storms but the storms that do develop could pack a punch. These storms will track east through the evening and overnight and will gradually weaken as we pass midnight and as they slide into North Central Kansas.

Morning showers and storms across North and South Central Kansas will gradually slide east throughout the morning. Cloud cover will likely linger into the afternoon for the eastern half of the state and this will help keep temperatures down on what can be a very hot holiday. Look for highs across North and South Central Kansas in the mid to upper 80s this afternoon. It appears that the sky will be dry for fireworks displays for North and South Central Kansas and that includes the Red White and Boom celebration in Downtown Wichita.

Lots of questions and uncertainty exists around the chances of showers and storms on Friday. Some weather models bring a North to South line of storms out of Southern Nebraska that would sweep across the eastern half of the state, while other weather models keep us dry. At this time we are including a chance of rain throughout the day on Friday and that includes the morning hours for North and South Central Kansas. More rain and rumbles will be possible across all of KAKEland this weekend and over all temperatures should dip back down into the mid 80s to low 90s for highs.

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