More severe storms on the menuPosted: Updated:
The active weather pattern continues with at least three more days where severe storms will be possible in KAKEland. These storms could bring more flooding rain to our soggy state along with large hail, high wind gusts and even a few more tornadoes.
The majority of KAKEland will be sunny and dry on Wednesday, a welcomed break from the storms that have created so much flooding. A select few in extreme Southeast KAKEland could see storms forming along a stalled out stationary front after 2pm. Greenwood, Elk and Chautauqua County will stand the best chance of getting storms and a few of them could be severe. While not as likely, Butler and and Cowley County could also see some storms that are on the strong side. The greatest threats in KAKEland will be large hail possibly topping 1.5”, wind gusts over 60mph and more flooding rainfall. While we can’t completely rule out a stray tornado, the better ingredients for tornadoes will be a bit further east out of KAKEland. During the overnight some rain may meander across South Central Kansas and even a few rumbles of thunder will be possible. Storms in Wichita tonight are not expected to be strong to severe but rainfall will be monitor closely in light or recent flooding.
Another chance strong and severe storms rolls into KAKEland on Thursday. A stationary front, draped across KAKEland will once again be the focus point for strong and severe storms. Thursday may start off a little on the soggy side with spotty showers and storms possible and a few storms in the morning across Southwest Kansas could even be strong and potentially severe with large hail being the main threat.
During the afternoon, showers and storms will increase in intensity and coverage along this front that will be situated from Southwest Kansas into North Central Kansas. These storms could produce large hail possibly topping 1.5”, wind gusts over 60mph and a few tornadoes. At this time it appears these storms may be relatively slow movers so the flooding threat will be a concern. The majority of this activity will be West of Wichita but during the overnight hours a secondary line of storms may form in Western Kansas. This line of storms will likely track east and it could bring a line of storms through Wichita very early Friday morning. If this line of storms makes it all the way to the I-135 corridor the most likely severe weather threat will be high wind gusts.
Friday will bring another chance of strong and severe storms to KAKEland and like Thursday the day might start off with some early morning shower and thunderstorm activity. During the afternoon storms are expected to intensify and expand along a stalled out front and they could once again produce large hail stones and high wind gusts. At this time it appears that the tornado threat is a bit lower on Friday. One question that persists in the forecast for Friday is where exactly the aforementioned front ends up. The placement of the front could greatly impact who sees and who doesn’t see severe weather on Friday and the positioning will become clearer during the day Thursday.
More showers and storms are expected across KAKEland over the long holiday weekend. At this time we are not highlighting any specific threat areas for the weekend but be aware that storms will be fairly likely Saturday afternoon and again on Sunday and our environment may support a few severe storms. If you have outdoor plans this weekend, keep a close eye on the forecast and have a plan in place should severe weather occur.
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