More storms and flooding rain for KAKEland

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A powerful storms system rolling across the Southern Plains will bring numerous showers and thunderstorms and many of these will be severe across Texas and Oklahoma. Kansas sits on the northern edge of this environment that is ripe for severe weather. While some large hail, high wind gusts and even a stray tornado is possible in KAKEland Monday, flooding rain will be a major concern.

Monday starts off with showers and storms tracking east across KAKEland. A few of these storms, especially along the Kansas-Oklahoma state line could be severe with large hail stones potentially over 1” in diameter and high wind gusts over 60mph. These storms will also dump heavy rain that could lead to some localized flooding. The storms will slide east and eventually out of KAKEland during the afternoon.

A brief break in the shower and thunderstorm activity is anticipated in the afternoon before more showers and storms are expected to form in the late day hours. A few of these could also be severe, especially across far Southern Kansas. These storms could produce large hail over 1” in diameter along with high wind gusts a possibly even a tornado or two. The late day severe weather threat is very conditional and will greatly depend on how the morning showers and storms “disrupt” the atmosphere.

Rain showers will continue into the day on Tuesday and while the ingredients for severe weather will largely be lacking, the rain could lead to more flooding. Much of the rain will fall over regions that recently received heavy and rain and many river systems are still quite full and much of the ground in South Central Kansas remains saturated. Western Kansas along with much of North Central Kansas will likely see 1-3” of total rainfall between Monday and Tuesday and some spots in South Central Kansas, including Wichita could see 3-5” through Tuesday. A Flash Flood Watch is in place through Tuesday afternoon and flood warnings for individual river system will likely be needed and will likely last into the second half of the work week.

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